Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 60.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.76% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%) , while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.