Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 53.77%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (5.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.