Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.56% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%) , while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.