Major League Soccer
Mar 15, 2026 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT PayPal Park
  • Vítor Costa 57' yellowcard
  • Nick Fernandez 77' yellowcard
  • Jack Skahan 77' yellowcard
  • Paul Marie 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Paul Rothrock 20'
  • yellowcard Albert Rusnák 46'
  • yellowcard Cristian Roldán 65'
  • yellowcard Álex Roldán 65'
  • yellowcard Osaze De Rosario 65'
  • yellowcard Snyder Brunell 86'

San Jose Earthquakes vs Seattle Sounders - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 12.30am
Philadelphia 0 - 1 Earthquakes
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Daniel Munie

Seattle Sounders

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 1.30am
St Louis City 0 - 1 Seattle
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Paul Rothrock

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (7.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

San Jose Earthquakes 41.59%
Draw 24.5% (-0.04)
Seattle Sounders 33.91% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.35% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.03% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 18.97% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 59.52% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 40.48% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 37.39% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 62.61% (-0.26)
Over 4.5 22.28% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 77.72% (-0.19)

First Half Winner

San Jose Earthquakes 32.69%
Draw 39.34%
Seattle Sounders 27.98%

Team To Score First

San Jose Earthquakes 51.98% (+0.02)
No Goal 4.84% (-0.05)
Seattle Sounders 43.18% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 67.88% (-0.05)
Equal 8 9.8% (-0.12)
Under 8 22.32% (+0.15)
Over 9 57.06% (+0.11)
Equal 9 10.82% (-0.15)
Under 9 32.12% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 46.09% (+0.25)
Under 10.5 53.91% (-0.25)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 1.5 45.82% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 54.18% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 21.31% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 78.69% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 8.05% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 91.95% (-0.07)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5 70.82% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 29.18% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 39.73% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 60.27% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 17.04% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 82.96% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 6.03% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 93.97% (-0.07)

Score analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 41.58%
Draw 24.5%
Seattle Sounders 33.91%
San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.73% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.61% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.04)
Other @ 7.7% (+0.07)
Total : 41.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.58% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.84% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.77% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.35% (+0.01)
Total : 24.5%
Seattle Sounders
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.7% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.17% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.68% (+0.05)
Total : 33.91%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 20, 2025 1.30am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2025 3.30am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Earthquakes Stadium
  • Beau Leroux 32' goal
  • Beau Leroux 32' goal
  • Cristian Espinoza 35' yellowcard
  • Cristian Espinoza 35' yellowcard
  • Ousseni Bouda 59' yellowcard
  • Ousseni Bouda 59' yellowcard
  • goal Albert Rusnak 80'
  • goal Albert Rusnak 80'
  • yellowcard Jackson Ragen 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Jackson Ragen 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2024 3.30am
2
2
HT : 4 2
FT CenturyLink Field
  • Jordan Morris 21' goal
  • Jordan Morris 21' goal
  • Jordan Morris 39' goal
  • Jordan Morris 39' goal
  • goal Amahl Pellegrino 16'
  • goal Amahl Pellegrino 16'
  • yellowcard Hernan Lopez 20'
  • yellowcard Hernan Lopez 20'
  • yellowcard Cristian Espinoza 38'
  • yellowcard Cristian Espinoza 38'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 51'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 51'
  • goal Paul Marie 89'
  • goal Paul Marie 89'
Major League Soccer
Mar 24, 2024 2.30am
3
2
HT : 4 0
FT Avaya Stadium
  • Vitor Costa 42' goal
  • Vitor Costa 42' goal
  • Cristian Espinoza 43' goal
  • Cristian Espinoza 43' goal
  • Benji Kikanovic 70' yellowcard
  • Benji Kikanovic 70' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 82' goal
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 82' goal
  • Jack Skahan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jack Skahan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Teves 52'
  • yellowcard Dylan Teves 52'
  • yellowcard Jackson Ragen 64'
  • yellowcard Jackson Ragen 64'
  • goal Raul Ruidiaz 72'
  • goal Raul Ruidiaz 72'
  • goal Daniel Musovski 81'
  • goal Daniel Musovski 81'
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023 3.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stanford Stadium
  • Cristian Espinoza 19' goal
  • Cristian Espinoza 19' goal
  • Miguel Trauco 64' goal
  • Miguel Trauco 65' goal
Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023 3.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stubhub Center
  • goal Jeremy Ebobisse 48'
  • goal Jeremy Ebobisse 48'