Apr 19, 2026 12.30am

3

3

HT : 1 1

FT TQL Stadium

Tom Barlow 42'
Teenage Hadebe 46'
Alvas Powell 64'
Gerardo Valenzuela 70'
Ayoub Jabbari 70'
Evander 79'
Djé D'Avilla 86'
Kyle Smith 86'

Hugo Cuypers 26'
Hugo Cuypers 48'
Philip Zinckernagel 45'+5'
Joel Waterman 73'
Dylan Borso 83'
P. Dithejane 83'
P. Dithejane 84'
Viktor Radojević 90'+4'

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

D
L
W
L
L
W

Major League Soccer

D
L
W
L
L
L

Last game

Apr 11, 2026 6.00pm

Toronto 1 - 1 Cincinnati

Goals scored

17

Top scorer

Kévin Denkey

Chicago Fire

All competitions

W
W
W
W
L
D

Major League Soccer

W
W
W
L
D
W

Last game

Apr 12, 2026 1.30am

Chicago Fire 1 - 0 Atlanta

Goals scored

12

Top scorer

Hugo Cuypers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (7.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result

FC Cincinnati 45.62%

Draw 24.8%

Chicago Fire 29.59%

Both Teams to Score:

59.66% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.32% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 1.5 19.68% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 58.44%

Under 2.5 41.53%

Over 3.5 37.62%

Under 3.5 62.38%

Over 4.5 22.37% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 4.5 77.63% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

FC Cincinnati 34.72%

Draw 37.62%

Chicago Fire 27.66%

Team To Score First

FC Cincinnati 53.56% ▼ (-0.01)

No Goal 5.29% ▲ (+0.01)

Chicago Fire 41.15%

Corners

Over 8 54.33%

Equal 8 10.78%

Under 8 34.88%

Over 9 43.65%

Equal 9 10.68%

Under 9 45.67%

Over 10.5 33.85%

Under 10.5 66.15%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 1.5 48.94%

Under 1.5 51.06%

Over 2.5 23.9%

Under 2.5 76.1%

Over 3.5 9.59%

Under 3.5 90.41%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 66.98% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 0.5 33.02% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 1.5 35.69% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 1.5 64.31% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 14.01% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 85.99% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 3.5 4.77% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 3.5 95.23% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 45.62%

Draw 24.8%

Chicago Fire 29.58%

FC Cincinnati

2-1 @ 8.71%

1-0 @ 8.1% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 6.86%

3-1 @ 5.33%

3-2 @ 3.85%

3-0 @ 3.51%

Other @ 9.26%

Total : 45.62%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.96%

2-2 @ 6.6%

0-0 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.01)

3-3 @ 1.62%

Other @ 0.33%

Total : 24.8%

Chicago Fire

1-2 @ 7.16%

0-1 @ 6.29%

0-2 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 3.32%

2-3 @ 2.87%

0-3 @ 1.43%

Other @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 29.58%

Head to Head

Jul 6, 2025 12.30am

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Apr 20, 2025 1.30am

2

3

HT : 1 2

FT Soldier Field

Hugo Cuypers 31'
Brian Gutierrez 85'
Kellyn Acosta 88'

Evander 9'
Kevin Denkey 42'
Kevin Denkey 42'
Evander 71'
Roman Celentano 90'+5'
Luca Orellano 90'+6'

Jul 18, 2024 12.30am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium

Pat Noonan 72'
Pat Noonan 72'
Alvas Powell 88'
Alvas Powell 88'
Alvas Powell 88'
Alvas Powell 88'
DeAndre Yedlin 89'
Pat Noonan 90'+6'
Pat Noonan 90'+6'

Fabian Herbers 35'
Fabian Herbers 35'
Hugo Cuypers 58'
Hugo Cuypers 58'
Brian Gutierrez 70'
Brian Gutierrez 70'
DeAndre Yedlin 89'
Georgios Koutsias 90'+3'
Georgios Koutsias 90'+3'

Mar 3, 2024 1.30am

1

2

HT : 2 2

FT Soldier Field

Xherdan Shaqiri 45'
Xherdan Shaqiri 45'
Kellyn Acosta 55'
Kellyn Acosta 55'
Mauricio Pineda 66'
Mauricio Pineda 66'
Brian Gutierrez 90'+4'
Brian Gutierrez 90'+4'

Aaron Boupendza 39'
Aaron Boupendza 39'
Obinna Nwobodo 43'
Obinna Nwobodo 43'
Miles Robinson 68'
Miles Robinson 68'
Pavel Bucha 81'
Pavel Bucha 81'
Corey Baird 84'
Corey Baird 84'

Jun 4, 2023 12.30am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Luciano Acosta 83'
Luciano Acosta 83'

Mar 19, 2023 12.30am

3

3

HT : 2 1

FT Toyota Park

Kacper Przybylko 32'
Rafael Czichos 45'
Chris Mueller 46'

Junior Moreno 8'
Sergio Santos 84'
Junior Moreno 87'

Form Data

Toronto 1 - 1 Cincinnati

NY Red Bulls 4 - 2 Cincinnati

Cincinnati 4 - 3 Montreal

Tigres 5 - 1 Cincinnati

New England 6 - 1 Cincinnati

Cincinnati 3 - 0 Tigres

Detroit City 1 - 2 Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire 1 - 0 Atlanta

Chicago Fire 1 - 0 Nashville

Philadelphia 1 - 2 Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire 1 - 2 DC United

Columbus Crew 0 - 0 Chicago Fire