Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Detroit City win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Detroit City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.