Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.85% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 19.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%) , while for a Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.