Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (8.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.