Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.31% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%) , while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.