Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (4.93%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.