Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Atlético Ottawa had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Atlético Ottawa win was 1-0 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.