Club Friendlies 3
Feb 14, 2026 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT GEODIS Park

Nashville SC vs Lexington - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 4.00pm
Nashville 1 - 0 Columbus Crew

Lexington

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 6.00pm
Lexington 0 - 0 One Knoxville

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 58.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.36% and a win for Lexington had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.98%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%) , while for a Lexington win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Nashville SC 58.16%
Draw 23.36% (+0.01)
Lexington 18.48% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.4% (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.67% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.33% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 54.86% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 45.14% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 33.16% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 66.84% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 20.74% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 79.26% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Nashville SC 43.95% (-0.11)
Draw 40.38% (+0.17)
Lexington 15.66% (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Nashville SC 63.03% (-0.11)
No Goal 6.86% (+0.04)
Lexington 30.11% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 55.36% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.53%
Under 8 33.11% (-0.01)
Over 9 43.84% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.53% (+0.01)
Under 9 44.64% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 33.24% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 66.76% (-0.01)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 1.5 55.34% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 44.66% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 29.58% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 70.42% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 13.05% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 86.95% (+0.02)

Lexington Goals

Over 0.5 54.12% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 45.88% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 22.48% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 77.52% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 7.05% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.95% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.86% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.14% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Nashville SC 58.17%
Draw 23.36%
Lexington 18.48%
Nashville SC
1-0 @ 10.83% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.98% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.18% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.2% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.89% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 12.82% (-0.02)
Total : 58.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.12% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.86% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.23% (+0.02)
Total : 23.36%
Lexington
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.67% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.62%
1-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 18.48%