Club Friendlies 3
Feb 14, 2026 12.00am
GEODIS Park

Nashville SC vs Lexington - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 4.00pm
Nashville 1 - 0 Columbus Crew

Lexington

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 7.00pm
Lexington 0 - 0 One Knoxville

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nashville SC win with a probability of 58.16%. A draw has a probability of 23.36% and a win for Lexington has a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.98%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.12%) , while for a Lexington win it is 0-1 (5.65%).

Result

Nashville SC 58.16%
Draw 23.36% (+0.01)
Lexington 18.48% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.4% (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.67% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.33% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 54.86% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 45.14% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 33.16% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 66.84% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 20.74% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 79.26% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Nashville SC 43.95% (-0.11)
Draw 40.38% (+0.17)
Lexington 15.66% (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Nashville SC 63.03% (-0.11)
No Goal 6.86% (+0.04)
Lexington 30.11% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 55.36% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.53%
Under 8 33.11% (-0.01)
Over 9 43.84% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.53% (+0.01)
Under 9 44.64% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 33.24% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 66.76% (-0.01)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 1.5 55.34% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 44.66% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 29.58% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 70.42% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 13.05% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 86.95% (+0.02)

Lexington Goals

Over 0.5 54.12% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 45.88% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 22.48% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 77.52% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 7.05% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.95% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.86% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.14% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Nashville SC 58.17%
Draw 23.36%
Lexington 18.48%
Nashville SC
1-0 @ 10.83% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.98% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.18% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.2% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.89% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 12.82% (-0.02)
Total : 58.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.12% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.86% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.23% (+0.02)
Total : 23.36%
Lexington
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.67% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.62%
1-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 18.48%