Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.