Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.