Major League Soccer
Mar 8, 2026 1.30am
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT GEODIS Park
  • Sam Surridge 26' goal
  • Cristian Espinoza 33' goal
  • Sam Surridge 47' goal
  • Josh Bauer 62' yellowcard
  • Warren Madrigal 78' yellowcard
  • Reed Baker-Whiting 78' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Qasem 86' yellowcard
  • Woobens Pacius 86' yellowcard
  • Woobens Pacius 87' yellowcard
  • goal Nectarios Triantis 35'
  • yellowcard Julian Gressel 66'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Dieng 75'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 75'
  • yellowcard Owen Gene 86'
  • yellowcard D.J. Taylor 86'

Nashville SC vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 1.30am
Dallas 0 - 0 Nashville
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 9.30pm
Minnesota Utd 1 - 0 Cincinnati
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.23% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%) , while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Nashville SC 52.17% (+0.07)
Draw 24.23% (-0.04)
Minnesota United 23.6% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.9% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.09% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 23.91% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 52.62% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 47.38% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 30.84% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 69.16% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 18.25% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 81.75% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Nashville SC 42.66%
Draw 37.45%
Minnesota United 19.89%

Team To Score First

Nashville SC 61.51% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.64% (-0.03)
Minnesota United 31.85% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.26% (-0.25)
Equal 8 12.02%
Under 8 33.72% (+0.25)
Over 9 42.35% (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.91% (-0.03)
Under 9 45.74% (+0.25)
Over 10.5 31.54% (-0.17)
Under 10.5 68.46% (+0.16)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 1.5 49.67% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 50.33% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 24.46% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 75.54% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 10.03% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 89.97% (-0.05)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 59.33%
Under 0.5 40.67%
Over 1.5 26.35% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 73.65% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.53% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.47% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.37%
Under 3.5 97.63%

Score analysis

Nashville SC 52.18%
Draw 24.24%
Minnesota United 23.6%
Nashville SC
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.67% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.59% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.32% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.93% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.14%
Other @ 9.95% (+0.05)
Total : 52.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 24.24%
Minnesota United
0-1 @ 6.71% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 5.89%
0-2 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 23.6%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2022 2.25am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Duncan Williams 61' goal
  • Randall Leal 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Fragapane 27'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Reynoso 31'
  • yellowcard Franco Fragapane 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Robin Lod 46'
  • goal Alan Benitez 75'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 3
Mar 5, 2022 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Hassani Dotson 20' yellowcard
  • Bakaye Dibassy 31' yellowcard
  • Hassani Dotson 71' goal
  • goal CJ Sapong 5'
  • yellowcard Sean Davis 27'
  • yellowcard Anibal Godoy 58'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 15
Oct 7, 2020 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Randall Leal 44' yellowcard
Major League Soccer Gameweek 33
Aug 2, 2020 1.00am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 22
Jun 14, 2020 1.00am