Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.23% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%) , while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.