Major League Soccer
Mar 8, 2026 1.30am
GEODIS Park

Nashville SC vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 1.30am
Dallas 0 - 0 Nashville
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 9.30pm
Minnesota Utd 1 - 0 Cincinnati
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nashville SC win with a probability of 52.11%. A draw has a probability of 24.26% and a win for Minnesota United has a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.3%) , while for a Minnesota United win it is 0-1 (6.71%).

Result

Nashville SC 52.11% (-0.04)
Draw 24.26%
Minnesota United 23.6%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.87%

Goals

Over 1.5 76% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 52.55% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.45% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.79%
Under 3.5 69.21%
Over 4.5 18.18%
Under 4.5 81.82%

First Half Winner

Nashville SC 42.66%
Draw 37.45%
Minnesota United 19.89%

Team To Score First

Nashville SC 61.5% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.66% (+0.01)
Minnesota United 31.84%

Corners

Over 8 54.5%
Equal 8 12.02%
Under 8 33.48%
Over 9 42.56%
Equal 9 11.94%
Under 9 45.5%
Over 10.5 31.7%
Under 10.5 68.3%

Nashville SC Goals

Over 1.5 49.57% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 50.43% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 24.38% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.62% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.98% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.02% (+0.01)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 59.3% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 40.7% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 26.32%
Under 1.5 73.68%
Over 2.5 8.5% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.5% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.35% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.65% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Nashville SC 52.1%
Draw 24.26%
Minnesota United 23.59%
Nashville SC
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 5.31%
3-0 @ 4.92% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 9.91%
Total : 52.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3%
0-0 @ 6.66% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.07% (-0.01)
Total : 24.26%
Minnesota United
0-1 @ 6.71%
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 23.59%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2022 2.25am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Duncan Williams 61' goal
  • Randall Leal 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Fragapane 27'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Reynoso 31'
  • yellowcard Franco Fragapane 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Robin Lod 46'
  • goal Alan Benitez 75'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 3
Mar 5, 2022 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Hassani Dotson 20' yellowcard
  • Bakaye Dibassy 31' yellowcard
  • Hassani Dotson 71' goal
  • goal CJ Sapong 5'
  • yellowcard Sean Davis 27'
  • yellowcard Anibal Godoy 58'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 15
Oct 7, 2020 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Randall Leal 44' yellowcard
Major League Soccer Gameweek 33
Aug 2, 2020 1.00am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 22
Jun 14, 2020 1.00am