Major League Soccer
Mar 21, 2026 11.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Steven Alzate 65' yellowcard
  • Saba Lobjanidze 74' yellowcard
  • Pedro Amador 88' yellowcard
  • Fafà Picault 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caden Clark 67'
  • yellowcard Gavin Turner 78'
  • yellowcard Hosei Kijima 78'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 89'

Atlanta United vs DC United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 7.15pm
Atlanta 3 - 1 Philadelphia
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

DC United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 12.30am
Chicago Fire 1 - 2 DC United
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Tai Baribo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.22%. A win for DC United had a probability of 24.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (6.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Atlanta United 52.22%
Draw 23.58%
DC United 24.23%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.13% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 80% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 58.07%
Under 2.5 41.93%
Over 3.5 35.64%
Under 3.5 64.36%
Over 4.5 21.59% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 78.41% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 40.34%
Draw 37.88%
DC United 21.77%

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 59.37%
No Goal 5.3% (-0.01)
DC United 35.33% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.84%
Equal 8 10.96%
Under 8 26.19%
Over 9 51.21%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 37.16%
Over 10.5 39.9%
Under 10.5 60.1%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 52.98%
Under 1.5 47.02%
Over 2.5 27.11%
Under 2.5 72.89%
Over 3.5 11.52%
Under 3.5 88.48%

DC United Goals

Over 0.5 61.54% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 38.46% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 29.64% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 70.36% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.76% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.24% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.26% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.74% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 52.22%
Draw 23.58%
DC United 24.23%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.82%
1-0 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 5.75%
3-0 @ 4.93% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.02)
Other @ 11.22%
Total : 52.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 5.87%
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.58%
DC United
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-1 @ 5.67%
0-2 @ 3.3%
1-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.96% (-0.02)
Total : 24.23%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 18, 2025 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 6, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Leagues Cup
Jul 27, 2024 1.00am
3
3
HT : 2 3
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Daniel Rios 20' goal
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 39' goal
  • Daniel Rios 81' goal
  • yellowcard Troy Lesesne 0'
  • goal Christian Benteke 4'
  • goal Jared Stroud 25'
  • goal Jared Stroud 32'
  • yellowcard Christopher McVey 56'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 86'
Major League Soccer
Jun 20, 2024 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Audi Field
  • Garrison Tubbs 34' yellowcard
  • Garrison Tubbs 34' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 45'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 18'
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 18'
  • yellowcard Noah Cobb 63'
  • yellowcard Noah Cobb 63'
  • goal Thiago Almada 79'
  • goal Thiago Almada 79'
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 12.30am
2
3
HT : 2 4
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Thiago Almada 16' goal
  • Thiago Almada 16' goal
  • Bartosz Slisz 30' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Slisz 30' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Matti Peltola 48' goal
  • Matti Peltola 48' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 70' yellowcard
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 70' yellowcard
  • Luis Abram 75' yellowcard
  • Luis Abram 75' yellowcard
  • goal Christian Benteke 19'
  • goal Christian Benteke 19'
  • yellowcard Cristian Dajome 38'
  • yellowcard Cristian Dajome 38'
  • goal Christian Benteke 44'
  • goal Christian Benteke 44'
  • goal Christian Benteke 55'
  • goal Christian Benteke 55'
  • yellowcard Conner Antley 84'
  • yellowcard Conner Antley 84'
Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Audi Field
  • Gabriel Pirani 80' goal
  • Gabriel Pirani 80' goal
  • Christian Benteke 85' yellowcard
  • Christian Benteke 85' yellowcard
  • Yamil Rodrigo Asad 88' yellowcard
  • Yamil Rodrigo Asad 88' yellowcard
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 14'
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 14'
  • yellowcard Ajani Fortune 61'
  • yellowcard Ajani Fortune 61'
  • yellowcard Edwin Mosquera 77'
  • yellowcard Edwin Mosquera 77'
  • yellowcard Xande Silva 89'
  • yellowcard Xande Silva 89'