Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-0 (7.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%).