Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 2-1 (7.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.