Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.04% and a win for DC United had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.12%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%) , while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.76%).