US Open Cup
Apr 16, 2026 12.30am
3
3
ET Audi Field
  • Gabriel Pirani 46' yellowcard
  • Brandon Servania 46' yellowcard
  • Jared Stroud 46' yellowcard
  • Matti Peltola 61' goal
  • Jacob Murrell 76' yellowcard
  • Silvan Hefti 82' yellowcard
  • Nikola Markovic 83' goal
  • Peglow 97' goal
  • yellowcard Real Gill 62'
  • yellowcard John Murphy 62'
  • yellowcard Eli Conway 62'
  • goal Babacar Diene 75'
  • yellowcard Denis Krioutchenkov 77'
  • yellowcard Dani Fernández 77'
  • goal Denis Krioutchenkov 78'
  • yellowcard Kyle Linhares 90'
  • yellowcard William Perkins 98'
  • goal Denis Krioutchenkov 113'

DC United vs One Knoxville - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions

One Knoxville

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a One Knoxville win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.85% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a One Knoxville win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%) , while for a DC United win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result

DC United 21.08% (+0.10)
Draw 22.85%
One Knoxville 56.07% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.12%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.38% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.62% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 50.36% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 49.64% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 28.59% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 71.41% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 16.92% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 83.08% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

DC United 18.96%
Draw 37.75%
One Knoxville 43.28%

Team To Score First

DC United 32.44% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.21%
One Knoxville 60.35% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.15% (-0.14)
Equal 8 11.14% (+0.04)
Under 8 34.71% (+0.11)
Over 9 43.11% (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.04% (+0.01)
Under 9 45.85% (+0.14)
Over 10.5 33.01% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 66.99% (+0.15)

DC United Goals

Over 1.5 22.51% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 77.49% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 7.11% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 92.89% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.94% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.06% (+0.02)

One Knoxville Goals

Over 0.5 80.07% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 19.93% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 50.86% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 49.14% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 25.09% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 74.91% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 10.23% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 89.77% (+0.04)

Score analysis

DC United 21.08%
Draw 22.86%
One Knoxville 56.07%
DC United
1-0 @ 6.46% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 5.07% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.37% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.84% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.44%
3-0 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 21.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.34% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.21%
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.01)
Total : 22.86%
One Knoxville
0-1 @ 11.96%
0-2 @ 10.3% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 9.65%
0-3 @ 5.99% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.46% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.58%
Other @ 10.13% (-0.03)
Total : 56.07%