Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a One Knoxville win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.85% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a One Knoxville win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%) , while for a DC United win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.