Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a One Knoxville win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Asheville City had a probability of 23.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a One Knoxville win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Asheville City win was 1-0 (6.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.