Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenville Triumph win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Asheville City had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenville Triumph win was 0-1 with a probability of 7.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Asheville City win was 1-0 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.