US Open Cup
Mar 18, 2026 10.30pm
Memorial Stadium

Asheville City vs Greenville Triumph - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Asheville City

Greenville Triumph

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Greenville Triumph win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Asheville City has a probability of 34.75% and a draw has a probability of 24.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenville Triumph win is 0-1 with a probability of 7.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Asheville City win is 1-0 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.48%).

Result

Asheville City 34.75% (+3.82)
Draw 24.09% (+0.25)
Greenville Triumph 41.16% (-4.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.65% (+2.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.43% (+1.74)
Under 1.5 21.57% (-1.74)
Over 2.5 56.68% (+2.18)
Under 2.5 43.32% (-2.18)
Over 3.5 35.37% (+1.40)
Under 3.5 64.63% (-1.41)
Over 4.5 22.39% (+0.82)
Under 4.5 77.61% (-0.82)

First Half Winner

Asheville City 35.21% (+1.07)
Draw 40.5% (-1.47)
Greenville Triumph 24.29% (+0.42)

Team To Score First

Asheville City 51.53% (-0.70)
No Goal 6.43% (-0.74)
Greenville Triumph 42.04% (+1.43)

Corners

Over 8 56.02% (+3.17)
Equal 8 10.87% (+0.40)
Under 8 33.11% (-3.57)
Over 9 45.09% (+2.57)
Equal 9 10.94% (+0.61)
Under 9 43.98% (-3.17)
Over 10.5 34.92% (+1.83)
Under 10.5 65.08% (-1.85)

Asheville City Goals

Over 1.5 37.86% (+4.75)
Under 1.5 62.14% (-4.74)
Over 2.5 17.29% (+2.61)
Under 2.5 82.71% (-2.61)
Over 3.5 7.66% (+1.43)
Under 3.5 92.34% (-1.43)

Greenville Triumph Goals

Over 0.5 71.06% (-1.77)
Under 0.5 28.94% (+1.77)
Over 1.5 42.57% (-1.86)
Under 1.5 57.43% (+1.86)
Over 2.5 21.07% (-1.45)
Under 2.5 78.93% (+1.45)
Over 3.5 8.41% (-0.99)
Under 3.5 91.59% (+0.99)

Score analysis

Asheville City 34.76%
Draw 24.09%
Greenville Triumph 41.17%
Asheville City
1-0 @ 7.27% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 6.9% (+0.90)
2-0 @ 5.1% (+0.57)
3-1 @ 3.22% (+0.27)
3-0 @ 2.89% (+0.52)
3-2 @ 2.11% (+0.14)
Other @ 7.27% (+1.31)
Total : 34.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.43% (-0.74)
2-2 @ 5.38% (+0.59)
3-3 @ 1.41% (+0.25)
Other @ 0.39% (+0.12)
Total : 24.09%
Greenville Triumph
0-1 @ 7.89% (-1.11)
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-1.07)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.25)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.57)
2-3 @ 3.19% (+0.09)
Other @ 8.02% (-1.10)
Total : 41.17%