Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Louisville City win with a probability of 48.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.32% and a win for One Knoxville had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Louisville City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%) , while for a One Knoxville win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.