Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for DC United had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (6.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.