Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.09% and a win for DC United had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%) , while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.