Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for New York City FC has a probability of 31.17% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest New York City FC win is 1-2 (7.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.86%).