US Open Cup
Apr 30, 2026 12.00am
Sports Illustrated Stadium

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

New York City FC

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for New York City FC has a probability of 31.17% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest New York City FC win is 1-2 (7.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.86%).

Result

New York Red Bulls 45.13% (+0.07)
Draw 23.7% (-0.04)
New York City FC 31.17% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.3%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.87% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 17.13% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 63.08%
Under 2.5 36.92%
Over 3.5 41.53%
Under 3.5 58.47%
Over 4.5 26.02% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 73.98% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

New York Red Bulls 35.25% (-0.03)
Draw 39.64% (-0.01)
New York City FC 25.1% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

New York Red Bulls 54.87% (+0.03)
No Goal 4.45% (-0.01)
New York City FC 40.68% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 52.37% (-0.06)
Equal 8 11.84%
Under 8 35.78% (+0.04)
Over 9 40.81% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.57%
Under 9 47.63% (+0.06)
Over 10.5 30.42% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 69.58% (+0.04)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 1.5 50.49% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 49.51% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 25.93% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 74.07% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 11.02% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 88.98% (-0.01)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 68.25% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.75% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 38.86% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 61.14% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 16.66% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.34% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.6%
Under 3.5 93.4%

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 45.12%
Draw 23.7%
New York City FC 31.18%
New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 8.67% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.88% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.95% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.88%
Other @ 10.59% (+0.01)
Total : 45.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86%
2-2 @ 7.08% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 23.7%
New York City FC
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.8% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.98% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.17%
Total : 31.18%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 28, 2025 12.30am
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 17, 2025 9.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Citi Field
  • Alonso Martinez 13' goal
  • Julian Fernandez 30' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Moralez 50' goal
  • yellowcard Noah Eile 42'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 54'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 62'
MLS Playoffs
Nov 23, 2024 10.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Citi Field
  • James Sands 34' yellowcard
  • Kevin O'Toole 39' yellowcard
  • goal Felipe Carballo 16'
  • goal Dante Vanzeir 25'
  • yellowcard Daniel Edelman 28'
Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 12.30am
1
5
HT : 2 8
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Andres Reyes 14' yellowcard
  • Andres Reyes 14' yellowcard
  • Sandro Schwarz 15' yellowcard
  • Sandro Schwarz 15' yellowcard
  • Dante Vanzeir 28' goal
  • Dante Vanzeir 28' goal
  • Peter Stroud 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Peter Stroud 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Maximiliano Moralez 5'
  • goal Maximiliano Moralez 5'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 7'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 7'
  • goal Andres Perea 30'
  • goal Andres Perea 30'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 45'+5'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 45'+5'
  • goal Tayvon Gray 67'
  • goal Tayvon Gray 67'
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Citi Field
  • Hannes Wolf 3' goal
  • Hannes Wolf 3' goal
  • James Sands 32' yellowcard
  • James Sands 32' yellowcard
  • Monsef Bakrar 64' goal
  • Monsef Bakrar 64' goal
  • yellowcard Cameron Harper 25'
  • yellowcard Cameron Harper 25'
  • goal Cameron Harper 45'+1'
  • goal Cameron Harper 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Frankie Amaya 66'
  • yellowcard Frankie Amaya 66'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 67'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 67'
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 90'
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 90'
  • yellowcard Sandro Schwarz 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Sandro Schwarz 90'+2'
  • redcard Sean Nealis 90'+3'
  • redcard Sean Nealis 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Sep 16, 2023 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Matias Pellegrini 42' yellowcard
  • Alfredo Morales 63' yellowcard
  • James Sands 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Barlow 48'
  • yellowcard Hassan Ndam 69'
  • yellowcard Cameron Harper 90'+7'
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 90'+7'