Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for CF Montreal has a probability of 31.81% and a draw has a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest CF Montreal win is 2-1 (7.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.05%).