Major League Soccer
May 10, 2026 9.30pm
Yankee Stadium

New York City FC vs Columbus Crew - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 3, 2026 8.00pm
NY City 0 - 2 DC United
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 3, 2026 12.30am
Columbus Crew 2 - 3 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Wessam Abou Ali

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for New York City FC has a probability of 36.94% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (5.3%). The likeliest New York City FC win is 2-1 (8.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.94%).

Result

New York City FC 36.94% (-0.08)
Draw 24.7% (+0.04)
Columbus Crew 38.36% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.14% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.18% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 18.82% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 59.78% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 40.22% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 36.37% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 63.63% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 21.09% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 78.91% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

New York City FC 31.1%
Draw 38.78%
Columbus Crew 30.13%

Team To Score First

New York City FC 48.87% (-0.03)
No Goal 4.93% (+0.05)
Columbus Crew 46.2% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.57%
Equal 8 11.58%
Under 8 28.85%
Over 9 47.61%
Equal 9 11.97%
Under 9 40.43%
Over 10.5 36.31%
Under 10.5 63.69%

New York City FC Goals

Over 1.5 42.04% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 57.96% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 18.14% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 81.86% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 6.38% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.62% (+0.06)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5 73.95% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 26.05% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 43.19% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 56.81% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 19.33% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 80.67% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.06% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.94% (+0.02)

Score analysis

New York City FC 36.95%
Draw 24.7%
Columbus Crew 38.36%
New York City FC
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.96% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.16% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.9% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.11% (-0.05)
Total : 36.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.94% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.8% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.93% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.7%
Columbus Crew
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-1 @ 6.94% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.3% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.32%
2-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.97%
Other @ 6.79% (-0.02)
Total : 38.36%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 18, 2025 12.30am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 11.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Lower.com Field
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 84' goal
Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2024 12.30am
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT Lower.com Field
  • Diego Rossi 17' goal
  • Diego Rossi 17' goal
  • Malte Amundsen 21' yellowcard
  • Malte Amundsen 21' yellowcard
  • Max Arfsten 59' goal
  • Max Arfsten 59' goal
  • DeJuan Jones 90'+3' goal
  • DeJuan Jones 90'+3' goal
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 90'+10' goal
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 90'+10' goal
  • goal Alonso Martinez 4'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 4'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Moralez 72'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Moralez 72'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 85'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 85'
  • goal Monsef Bakrar 86'
  • goal Monsef Bakrar 86'
  • redcard Julian Fernandez 90'+5'
  • redcard Julian Fernandez 90'+5'
Leagues Cup
Aug 17, 2024 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT MAPFRE Stadium
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 41' goal
  • goal Alonso Martinez 1'
  • yellowcard Christian McFarlane 26'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 88'
Major League Soccer
Jun 15, 2024 1.40am
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Strahinja Tanasijevic 33' yellowcard
  • Strahinja Tanasijevic 33' yellowcard
  • Mitja Ilencic 39' redcard
  • Mitja Ilencic 39' redcard
  • Agustin Ojeda 44' goal
  • Agustin Ojeda 44' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 86' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 86' goal
  • Maximiliano Moralez 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Moralez 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 90'+15' yellowcard
  • Santiago Rodriguez 90'+15' yellowcard
  • Santiago Rodriguez 90'+15' yellowcard
  • goal Christian Ramirez 51'
  • goal Christian Ramirez 51'
  • goal Mohamed Farsi 53'
  • goal Mohamed Farsi 53'
  • yellowcard Yevgen Cheberko 58'
  • yellowcard Yevgen Cheberko 58'
  • goal Juan Camilo Hernandez 63'
  • goal Juan Camilo Hernandez 63'
  • yellowcard Diego Rossi 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Diego Rossi 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT MAPFRE Stadium
  • Sean Zawadzki 90'+4' goal
  • Sean Zawadzki 90'+4' goal
  • goal Justin Haak 75'
  • goal Justin Haak 75'