Major League Soccer
May 3, 2026 8.00pm
Citi Field

New York City FC vs DC United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 7.30pm
Montreal 1 - 0 NY City
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

DC United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 12.30am
DC United 3 - 2 Orlando City
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Tai Baribo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw has a probability of 23.41% and a win for DC United has a probability of 20.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.98%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a DC United win it is 0-1 (5.75%).

Result

New York City FC 55.77% (+0.34)
Draw 23.41% (-0.13)
DC United 20.76% (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.3% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.96% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 22.04% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 55.21% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 44.79% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 33.04% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 66.92% (-0.27)
Over 4.5 20.08% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 79.92% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

New York City FC 45.01%
Draw 38.21%
DC United 16.77%

Team To Score First

New York City FC 63.82% (+0.08)
No Goal 5.88% (-0.12)
DC United 30.3% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.02%
Equal 8 12.01%
Under 8 29.97%
Over 9 45.73%
Equal 9 12.29%
Under 9 41.98%
Over 10.5 34.28%
Under 10.5 65.72%

New York City FC Goals

Over 1.5 53.86% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 46.14% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 27.81% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 72.19% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 12.26% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 87.74% (-0.17)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5 57.09% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 42.91% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 24.82% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 75.18% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 7.75% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.25% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.98% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.02% (+0.01)

Score analysis

New York City FC 55.76%
Draw 23.41%
DC United 20.76%
New York City FC
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.98% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 8.92% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.74% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.56% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.08% (+0.03)
Other @ 12.14% (+0.17)
Total : 55.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.44% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.41%
DC United
0-1 @ 5.75% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.86% (-0.02)
Total : 20.76%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Aug 31, 2025 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
MLS Playoffs
May 15, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Audi Field
  • Kye Rowles 23' yellowcard
  • Kye Rowles 23' yellowcard
  • Boris Enow 34' yellowcard
  • Boris Enow 34' yellowcard
  • Garrison Tubbs 87' yellowcard
  • Garrison Tubbs 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 57'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 57'
Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Audi Field
  • Christian Benteke 16' yellowcard
  • Christian Benteke 16' yellowcard
  • Lucas Bartlett 27' yellowcard
  • Lucas Bartlett 27' yellowcard
  • Pedro Santos 55' yellowcard
  • Pedro Santos 55' yellowcard
  • Christian Benteke 67' goal
  • Christian Benteke 67' goal
  • Dominique Badji 80' yellowcard
  • Dominique Badji 80' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 32'
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 32'
  • yellowcard James Sands 41'
  • yellowcard James Sands 41'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Moralez 69'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Moralez 69'
  • yellowcard Thiago Martins 82'
  • yellowcard Thiago Martins 82'
Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 12.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Citi Field
  • Santiago Rodriguez 20' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 20' goal
  • Monsef Bakrar 63' yellowcard
  • Monsef Bakrar 63' yellowcard
  • Julian Fernandez 90'+1' goal
  • Julian Fernandez 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Matai Akinmboni 34'
  • yellowcard Matai Akinmboni 34'
  • yellowcard Lucas Bartlett 50'
  • yellowcard Lucas Bartlett 50'
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
2
0
HT : 3 0
FT Audi Field
  • 8' goal
  • Mateusz Klich 45' goal
  • Mateusz Klich 45' goal
  • Steven Birnbaum 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Steven Birnbaum 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Chris Durkin 62' goal
  • Chris Durkin 62' goal
  • Russell Canouse 67' yellowcard
  • Russell Canouse 67' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin O'Toole 74'
  • yellowcard Kevin O'Toole 75'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Talles Magno 17' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 37' goal
  • Thiago Andrade 88' goal
  • goal Christian Benteke 46'
  • goal Steven Birnbaum 90'