Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw has a probability of 23.41% and a win for DC United has a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.98%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a DC United win it is 0-1 (5.75%).