Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for DC United had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.