Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Naples win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.47% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Naples win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%) , while for a Orlando City win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.