US Open Cup
Apr 16, 2026 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • 56' yellowcard
  • Taylor Gray 56' yellowcard
  • Aiden Mesias 57' yellowcard
  • Ian Cerro 88' yellowcard
  • goal Tyrese Spicer 18'
  • yellowcard Colin Guske 46'
  • yellowcard Iván Angulo 59'
  • yellowcard Eduard Atuesta 59'
  • yellowcard Martín Ojeda 59'
  • yellowcard Tiago 76'

Naples vs Orlando City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Naples

All competitions

Orlando City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Naples win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.47% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 18.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Naples win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%) , while for a Orlando City win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Naples 62.27% (-0.44)
Draw 19.47% (+0.01)
Orlando City 18.21% (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.08% (+0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.84% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 18.16% (-0.49)
Over 2.5 61.01% (+0.66)
Under 2.5 38.99% (-0.66)
Over 3.5 38.64% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 61.36% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 25.81% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 74.19% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Naples 47.3% (+1.13)
Draw 34.5% (-0.86)
Orlando City 18.2% (-0.27)

Team To Score First

Naples 63.54% (+0.72)
No Goal 4.68% (-0.25)
Orlando City 31.78% (-0.47)

Corners

Over 8 54.14% (-0.96)
Equal 8 11.27% (-0.27)
Under 8 34.59% (+1.23)
Over 9 42.97% (-0.61)
Equal 9 11.17% (-0.34)
Under 9 45.86% (+0.96)
Over 10.5 32.76% (-0.27)
Under 10.5 67.24% (+0.26)

Naples Goals

Over 1.5 60.79% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 39.21% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 35.04% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 64.96% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 17.57% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 82.43% (+0.42)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 52.81% (+1.13)
Under 0.5 47.19% (-1.13)
Over 1.5 22.78% (+0.67)
Under 1.5 77.22% (-0.66)
Over 2.5 7.45% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 92.55% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 2.28% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 97.72% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Naples 62.28%
Draw 19.46%
Orlando City 18.2%
Naples
2-1 @ 10.12% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 9.16% (-0.23)
1-0 @ 8.99% (-0.33)
3-0 @ 6.79% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.43% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.28% (+0.14)
Other @ 17.51% (-0.38)
Total : 62.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.05% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.7% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.25)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.03)
Total : 19.46%
Orlando City
1-2 @ 4.72% (+0.18)
0-1 @ 4.43%
0-2 @ 2.63% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.77% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.7% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.22% (+0.10)
Total : 18.2%