US Open Cup
Apr 16, 2026 12.00am

Naples vs Orlando City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Naples

All competitions

Orlando City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Naples win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw has a probability of 20% and a win for Orlando City has a probability of 18.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Naples win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.08%) , while for a Orlando City win it is 1-2 (4.89%).

Result

Naples 61.81%
Draw 20%
Orlando City 18.18%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.01%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.1%
Under 1.5 18.9%
Over 2.5 60.58%
Under 2.5 39.42%
Over 3.5 36.88%
Under 3.5 63.12%
Over 4.5 24.39%
Under 4.5 75.61%

First Half Winner

Naples 48.7%
Draw 33.58%
Orlando City 17.72%

Team To Score First

Naples 63.65%
No Goal 5.11%
Orlando City 31.24%

Corners

Over 8 54.77%
Equal 8 11.21%
Under 8 34.02%
Over 9 43.61%
Equal 9 11.16%
Under 9 45.23%
Over 10.5 33.36%
Under 10.5 66.64%

Naples Goals

Over 1.5 59.96%
Under 1.5 40.04%
Over 2.5 34.11%
Under 2.5 65.89%
Over 3.5 16.64%
Under 3.5 83.36%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 52.82%
Under 0.5 47.18%
Over 1.5 22.55%
Under 1.5 77.45%
Over 2.5 7.59%
Under 2.5 92.41%
Over 3.5 2.23%
Under 3.5 97.77%

Score analysis

Naples 61.81%
Draw 20.01%
Orlando City 18.19%
Naples
2-1 @ 10.44%
1-0 @ 9.3%
2-0 @ 9.09%
3-0 @ 7.19%
3-1 @ 6.25%
3-2 @ 3.04%
Other @ 16.5%
Total : 61.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.08%
0-0 @ 5.11%
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.01%
Orlando City
1-2 @ 4.89%
0-1 @ 4.5%
0-2 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.63%
1-3 @ 1.55%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 18.19%