Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 65.17%. A draw had a probability of 18.84% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%) , while for a Orlando City win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.