Major League Soccer
Mar 21, 2026 10.15pm
GEODIS Park

Nashville SC vs Orlando City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 10.15pm
Columbus Crew 0 - 1 Nashville
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 11.30pm
Orlando City 2 - 1 Montreal
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Martín Ojeda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nashville SC win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw has a probability of 21.68% and a win for Orlando City has a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.8%) , while for a Orlando City win it is 1-2 (5.27%).

Result

Nashville SC 58.54% (-0.07)
Draw 21.68% (+0.04)
Orlando City 19.79% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.42% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.53% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 20.47% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 58.06% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 41.94% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 35.84%
Under 3.5 64.16%
Over 4.5 23.06% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.94% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Nashville SC 44.58%
Draw 35.25%
Orlando City 20.17%

Team To Score First

Nashville SC 61.7% (-0.06)
No Goal 5.55% (+0.02)
Orlando City 32.75% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 55.43% (+0.25)
Equal 8 11.67% (-0.01)
Under 8 32.9% (-0.25)
Over 9 43.76% (+0.24)
Equal 9 11.67% (+0.01)
Under 9 44.57% (-0.25)
Over 10.5 33.05% (+0.21)
Under 10.5 66.95% (-0.21)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 1.5 56.82% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 43.18% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 31.35% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 68.65% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 14.99% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 85.01% (+0.05)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 55.01% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 44.99% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 24.15% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 75.85% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 7.85% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.15% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.16% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.84% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Nashville SC 58.54%
Draw 21.68%
Orlando City 19.79%
Nashville SC
2-1 @ 9.83% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.7% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.96% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 14.85% (-0.05)
Total : 58.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.8% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.55% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.05% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.68%
Orlando City
1-2 @ 5.27% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.23% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.72% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.74% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.65%
0-3 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.02% (+0.03)
Total : 19.79%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Feb 7, 2026 12.00am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Exploria Stadium
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 21, 2025 12.30am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Aug 24, 2025 1.30am
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2024 12.30am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Orlando City Stadium
  • Ivan Angulo 10' goal
  • Ivan Angulo 10' goal
  • Facundo Torres 14' goal
  • Facundo Torres 14' goal
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 17' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 17' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Enrique 20' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Enrique 20' yellowcard
  • Robin Jansson 39' yellowcard
  • Robin Jansson 39' yellowcard
  • Rafael Santos 47' yellowcard
  • Rafael Santos 47' yellowcard
  • Wilder Cartagena 64' yellowcard
  • Wilder Cartagena 64' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 83' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 83' yellowcard
  • Facundo Torres 85' goal
  • Facundo Torres 85' goal
  • yellowcard Brian Anunga 68'
  • yellowcard Brian Anunga 68'
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 1.30am
0
3
HT : 0 4
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Alex Muyl 18' yellowcard
  • Alex Muyl 18' yellowcard
  • Josh Bauer 29' yellowcard
  • Josh Bauer 29' yellowcard
  • Forster Ajago 88' yellowcard
  • Forster Ajago 88' yellowcard
  • goal Cesar Araujo 19'
  • goal Cesar Araujo 19'
  • yellowcard Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 21'
  • yellowcard Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 21'
  • goal Alex Muyl 41' (OG)
  • goal Alex Muyl 41' (OG)
  • yellowcard Facundo Torres 64'
  • yellowcard Facundo Torres 64'
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 81'
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 81'
Major League Soccer
Nov 12, 2023 10.00pm
Orlando City Stadium