Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tampa Bay Rowdies win with a probability of 52.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.59% and a win for Naples had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tampa Bay Rowdies win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%) , while for a Naples win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.