Club Friendlies 3
Feb 17, 2026 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Al Lang Stadium
  • Schneider 14' goal

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Naples - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tampa Bay Rowdies

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 11.00pm
Tampa Bay Rowdies 0 - 0 Montreal

Naples

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.00pm
Detroit City 1 - 1 Naples

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tampa Bay Rowdies win with a probability of 52.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.59% and a win for Naples had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tampa Bay Rowdies win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%) , while for a Naples win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Tampa Bay Rowdies 52.58% (+0.44)
Draw 26.59% (-0.72)
Naples 20.83% (+0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.38% (+0.60)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.82% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 27.18% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 48.99% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 51.01% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 27.49% (+0.39)
Under 3.5 72.51% (-0.40)
Over 4.5 16.33% (+0.31)
Under 4.5 83.67% (-0.32)

First Half Winner

Tampa Bay Rowdies 34.03% (+0.31)
Draw 47.98% (-3.57)
Naples 17.98% (+3.26)

Team To Score First

Tampa Bay Rowdies 59.33% (-0.02)
No Goal 9.33% (-0.46)
Naples 31.34% (+0.47)

Corners

Over 8 57.35% (+0.83)
Equal 8 11.27% (-0.20)
Under 8 31.38% (-0.65)
Over 9 45.91% (+0.96)
Equal 9 11.44% (-0.14)
Under 9 42.65% (-0.83)
Over 10.5 35.22% (+1.00)
Under 10.5 64.78% (-0.99)

Tampa Bay Rowdies Goals

Over 1.5 48.41% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 51.59% (-0.31)
Over 2.5 23.06% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 76.94% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 9.94% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 90.06% (+0.04)

Naples Goals

Over 0.5 55.22% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 44.78% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 22.48% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 77.52% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 6.99% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 93.01% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 1.71% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 98.29% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Tampa Bay Rowdies 52.59%
Draw 26.58%
Naples 20.82%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1-0 @ 11.3% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.9% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 9.33% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.75% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.5% (+0.17)
Other @ 9.82% (+0.04)
Total : 52.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 9.33% (-0.46)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.06)
Total : 26.58%
Naples
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.33% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.96% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.7% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1.42% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.07)
Other @ 1.59% (+0.11)
Total : 20.82%