Club Friendlies 3
Feb 17, 2026 11.00pm
Al Lang Stadium

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Naples - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tampa Bay Rowdies

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 11.00pm
Tampa Bay Rowdies 0 - 0 Montreal

Naples

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.00pm
Detroit City 1 - 1 Naples

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tampa Bay Rowdies win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw has a probability of 27.31% and a win for Naples has a probability of 20.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tampa Bay Rowdies win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.64%) , while for a Naples win it is 0-1 (6.58%).

Result

Tampa Bay Rowdies 52.14% (+0.04)
Draw 27.31% (+0.15)
Naples 20.55% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.79% (-0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.42% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 27.58% (+0.26)
Over 2.5 48.6% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 51.4% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 27.1% (-0.45)
Under 3.5 72.9% (+0.46)
Over 4.5 16.02% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 83.98% (+0.30)

First Half Winner

Tampa Bay Rowdies 33.73% (-0.16)
Draw 51.55% (+0.15)
Naples 14.72% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Tampa Bay Rowdies 59.34% (+0.28)
No Goal 9.79% (+0.21)
Naples 30.87% (-0.49)

Corners

Over 8 56.52% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.46% (-0.01)
Under 8 32.02% (-0.02)
Over 9 44.95% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.57%
Under 9 43.48% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 34.23% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 65.77% (-0.04)

Tampa Bay Rowdies Goals

Over 1.5 48.1% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 51.9% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 22.99% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 77.01% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 9.97% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 90.03% (+0.16)

Naples Goals

Over 0.5 54.95% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 45.05% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 22.2% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 77.8% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 6.8% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 93.2% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 1.67% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 98.33% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Tampa Bay Rowdies 52.13%
Draw 27.32%
Naples 20.55%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1-0 @ 11.21% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.8% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 9.24% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 5.02% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.08)
Other @ 9.79% (-0.16)
Total : 52.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 9.79% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 27.32%
Naples
0-1 @ 6.58% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.34%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.49% (-0.08)
Total : 20.55%