Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Richmond Kickers had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Richmond Kickers win was 2-1 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.