US Open Cup
Mar 17, 2026 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT City Stadium
  • Josh Kirkland 31' goal
  • Lucca Dourado 89' goal

Richmond Kickers vs Northern Virginia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Richmond Kickers

All competitions

Northern Virginia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Virginia win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Richmond Kickers had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northern Virginia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Richmond Kickers win was 2-1 (6.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Richmond Kickers 29.61% (-1.45)
Draw 22.3% (-0.08)
Northern Virginia 48.09% (+1.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.37% (-1.34)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.01% (-0.88)
Under 1.5 16.99% (+0.88)
Over 2.5 63.26% (-1.09)
Under 2.5 36.74% (+1.10)
Over 3.5 41.69% (-0.79)
Under 3.5 58.31% (+0.79)
Over 4.5 26.73% (-0.54)
Under 4.5 73.27% (+0.54)

First Half Winner

Richmond Kickers 24.87% (-0.46)
Draw 36.71% (+0.08)
Northern Virginia 38.42% (+0.40)

Team To Score First

Richmond Kickers 41.34% (+0.27)
No Goal 4.4% (+0.25)
Northern Virginia 54.26% (-0.50)

Corners

Over 8 57.2% (-1.54)
Equal 8 10.03% (-0.34)
Under 8 32.78% (+1.90)
Over 9 46.97% (-1.11)
Equal 9 10.23% (-0.43)
Under 9 42.8% (+1.54)
Over 10.5 37.28% (-0.65)
Under 10.5 62.72% (+0.65)

Richmond Kickers Goals

Over 1.5 36.33% (-1.97)
Under 1.5 63.67% (+1.97)
Over 2.5 16.05% (-1.36)
Under 2.5 83.95% (+1.36)
Over 3.5 5.91% (-0.59)
Under 3.5 94.09% (+0.58)

Northern Virginia Goals

Over 0.5 78.81% (+0.47)
Under 0.5 21.19% (-0.47)
Over 1.5 52.38% (+0.56)
Under 1.5 47.62% (-0.56)
Over 2.5 27.78% (+0.63)
Under 2.5 72.22% (-0.63)
Over 3.5 12.72% (+0.45)
Under 3.5 87.28% (-0.44)

Score analysis

Richmond Kickers 29.6%
Draw 22.29%
Northern Virginia 48.1%
Richmond Kickers
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.28)
1-0 @ 5.46% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 3.79% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.24)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.23)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.25)
Other @ 5.5% (-0.58)
Total : 29.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.41% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.18)
0-0 @ 4.4% (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.88% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.41% (-0.02)
Total : 22.29%
Northern Virginia
1-2 @ 8.94% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.12% (+0.50)
0-2 @ 6.55% (+0.31)
1-3 @ 5.46% (+0.18)
0-3 @ 4.01% (+0.18)
2-3 @ 3.71% (-0.11)
Other @ 12.31% (+0.46)
Total : 48.1%