US Open Cup
Mar 17, 2026 10.30pm
City Stadium

Richmond Kickers vs Northern Virginia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Richmond Kickers

All competitions

Northern Virginia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Northern Virginia win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Richmond Kickers has a probability of 31.05% and a draw has a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northern Virginia win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Richmond Kickers win is 2-1 (6.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.48%).

Result

Richmond Kickers 31.05%
Draw 22.38%
Northern Virginia 46.57%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.7%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.89% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 16.11% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 64.35% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 35.65% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 42.48%
Under 3.5 57.52%
Over 4.5 27.27% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 72.73% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Richmond Kickers 25.33%
Draw 36.63%
Northern Virginia 38.03%

Team To Score First

Richmond Kickers 41.08%
No Goal 4.16% (+0.01)
Northern Virginia 54.76% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.74%
Equal 8 10.37%
Under 8 30.89%
Over 9 48.08%
Equal 9 10.66%
Under 9 41.26%
Over 10.5 37.93%
Under 10.5 62.07%

Richmond Kickers Goals

Over 1.5 38.29% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.71% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 17.41% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.59% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.49%
Under 3.5 93.51%

Northern Virginia Goals

Over 0.5 78.34% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 21.66% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 51.83% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 48.17% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 27.16% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 72.84% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 12.28% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 87.72% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Richmond Kickers 31.04%
Draw 22.38%
Northern Virginia 46.56%
Richmond Kickers
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.31% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.83% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 3.15%
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.07%
Total : 31.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.48%
2-2 @ 6.37%
0-0 @ 4.16% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.38%
Northern Virginia
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.62% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.24% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.28%
0-3 @ 3.83% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.82%
Other @ 11.86% (-0.01)
Total : 46.56%