Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Richmond Kickers had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%) , while for a Richmond Kickers win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.