Major League Soccer
May 3, 2026 12.30am
Historic Crew Stadium

Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 12.30am
Columbus Crew 2 - 0 Philadelphia
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Wessam Abou Ali

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 9.45pm
Minnesota Utd 0 - 1 Los Angeles
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw has a probability of 21.69% and a win for Minnesota United has a probability of 19.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.08%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.17%) , while for a Minnesota United win it is 0-1 (5.29%).

Result

Columbus Crew 58.82% (+2.11)
Draw 21.69% (-0.83)
Minnesota United 19.49% (-1.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.96% (+0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.33% (+1.65)
Under 1.5 20.67% (-1.64)
Over 2.5 57.19% (+2.48)
Under 2.5 42.81% (-2.48)
Over 3.5 34.4% (+2.19)
Under 3.5 65.6% (-2.20)
Over 4.5 21.51% (+2.16)
Under 4.5 78.49% (-2.17)

First Half Winner

Columbus Crew 49.91% (+2.07)
Draw 34.06% (-0.88)
Minnesota United 16.03% (-1.18)

Team To Score First

Columbus Crew 67.63% (+1.35)
No Goal 5.26% (-0.63)
Minnesota United 27.11% (-0.72)

Corners

Over 8 56.34% (+3.95)
Equal 8 11.9% (-0.34)
Under 8 31.77% (-3.59)
Over 9 44.34% (+3.91)
Equal 9 11.99% (+0.03)
Under 9 43.66% (-3.95)
Over 10.5 33.28% (+3.56)
Under 10.5 66.72% (-3.55)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 1.5 56.5% (+2.65)
Under 1.5 43.5% (-2.65)
Over 2.5 30.68% (+3.20)
Under 2.5 69.32% (-3.20)
Over 3.5 13.73% (+2.34)
Under 3.5 86.27% (-2.35)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 55.51% (-1.39)
Under 0.5 44.49% (+1.39)
Over 1.5 23.77% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 76.23% (+0.72)
Over 2.5 7.53% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 92.47% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 1.96% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.04% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Columbus Crew 58.82%
Draw 21.69%
Minnesota United 19.48%
Columbus Crew
1-0 @ 10.11% (-0.51)
2-1 @ 10.08% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.26)
3-0 @ 6.3% (+0.51)
3-1 @ 6.2% (+0.30)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.07)
Other @ 13.57% (+2.24)
Total : 58.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.17% (-0.33)
0-0 @ 5.26% (-0.63)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.16% (+0.11)
Total : 21.69%
Minnesota United
0-1 @ 5.29% (-0.54)
1-2 @ 5.21% (-0.28)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.20)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.2% (+0.15)
Other @ 1.8% (-0.12)
Total : 19.48%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Field
  • DJ Taylor 54' yellowcard
  • Tani Oluwaseyi 90'+5' goal
  • goal Juan Camilo Hernandez 59'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 12
Sep 24, 2020 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT MAPFRE Stadium
  • Lucas Zelarayan 31' goal
  • Pedro Santos 70' goal
  • Artur 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Aja 50'
  • yellowcard Romain Metanire 61'
  • yellowcard Chase Gasper 80'
  • goal Robin Lod 88'
Major League Soccer
Jul 29, 2020 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
ET ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17
  • Gyasi Zardes 79' goal
  • Jonathan Mensah 84' yellowcard
  • goal Robin Lod 18'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 12
Apr 30, 2020 12.00am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 15
May 19, 2019 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Field (Saint Paul, Minnesota)
  • Brent Kallman 52' yellowcard
  • Miguel Ibarra 63' yellowcard
  • Ethan Finlay 70' goal
  • yellowcard David Guzman 62'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 40
Oct 28, 2018 8.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT MAPFRE Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)
  • Gyasi Zardes 11' goal
  • Gyasi Zardes 49' goal
  • Gyasi Zardes 83' goal
  • goal Francisco Calvo 68'
  • goal Francisco Calvo 77'