Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.69% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 19.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.08%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%) , while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.