Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sacramento Republic win with a probability of 53.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.57% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sacramento Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.02%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%) , while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.