US Open Cup
Apr 15, 2026 3.00am
0
0
ET Papa Murphy’s Park
  • D. Wanner 62' yellowcard
  • Arturo Rodriguez 78' yellowcard
  • C. Ukaegbu 81' yellowcard
  • Sergio Rivas 90' yellowcard
  • Brandon Cambridge 91' yellowcard
  • Sergio Rivas 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomás Chancalay 66'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Pereyra 66'
  • yellowcard Tomás Chancalay 67'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Pereyra 67'
  • yellowcard Anthony Markanich Jr. 80'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Díaz 80'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Gonzalez 100'
  • yellowcard Nectarios Triantis 120'+2'

Sacramento Republic vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sacramento Republic

All competitions

Minnesota United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sacramento Republic win with a probability of 53.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.57% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sacramento Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.02%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%) , while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Sacramento Republic 53.16% (-0.09)
Draw 24.57% (+0.02)
Minnesota United 22.27% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.67% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.28% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 24.72% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 51.37% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 48.62% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.54% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 71.46% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 16.41% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.59% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Sacramento Republic 39.59% (-0.10)
Draw 39.73% (+0.11)
Minnesota United 20.69% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Sacramento Republic 61.23% (-0.06)
No Goal 6.79% (+0.03)
Minnesota United 31.98% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 61.96% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.72% (+0.01)
Under 8 27.32% (+0.02)
Over 9 50.68% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.28% (+0.01)
Under 9 38.04% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 39.76% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 60.24% (+0.04)

Sacramento Republic Goals

Over 1.5 49.41% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 50.59% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 23.57% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 76.43% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 8.96% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 91.04% (+0.04)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 58.13%
Under 0.5 41.87%
Over 1.5 24.89%
Under 1.5 75.11%
Over 2.5 7.97%
Under 2.5 92.03%
Over 3.5 2.25%
Under 3.5 97.75%

Score analysis

Sacramento Republic 53.16%
Draw 24.58%
Minnesota United 22.27%
Sacramento Republic
1-0 @ 11.51%
2-1 @ 10.02%
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.81% (-0.03)
Total : 53.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 6.79% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.09%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.58%
Minnesota United
0-1 @ 6.43% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.85% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 22.27%