US Open Cup
Apr 15, 2026 3.00am
Papa Murphy’s Park

Sacramento Republic vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sacramento Republic

All competitions

Minnesota United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sacramento Republic win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw has a probability of 23.95% and a win for Minnesota United has a probability of 20.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sacramento Republic win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.21%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.39%) , while for a Minnesota United win it is 0-1 (6.24%).

Result

Sacramento Republic 55.47% (-0.06)
Draw 23.95%
Minnesota United 20.53%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.19%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.13% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.87% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.93% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 49.07% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 28.51% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 71.49% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 16.78% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.22% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Sacramento Republic 41.27%
Draw 39.13%
Minnesota United 19.6%

Team To Score First

Sacramento Republic 62.84%
No Goal 6.8% (-0.01)
Minnesota United 30.36% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.24% (-0.08)
Equal 8 10.99% (+0.01)
Under 8 28.76% (+0.06)
Over 9 48.82% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.42% (+0.01)
Under 9 39.76% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 37.92% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 62.08% (+0.08)

Sacramento Republic Goals

Over 1.5 50.83%
Under 1.5 49.17%
Over 2.5 24.71%
Under 2.5 75.29%
Over 3.5 9.89%
Under 3.5 90.11%

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 56.07% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 43.93% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 22.88% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 77.12% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 6.89% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 93.11% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.94% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.06% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Sacramento Republic 55.47%
Draw 23.95%
Minnesota United 20.53%
Sacramento Republic
1-0 @ 11.78% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.21%
2-0 @ 9.77% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.77% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.35%
3-2 @ 2.83%
Other @ 9.76% (-0.01)
Total : 55.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.76%
Other @ 0.13% (+0.02)
Total : 23.95%
Minnesota United
0-1 @ 6.24%
1-2 @ 5.37%
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 20.53%