Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2026 6.30pm
Allianz Field

Minnesota United vs Seattle Sounders - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 8.30pm
Vancouver 6 - 0 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

Seattle Sounders

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 11.00pm
Earthquakes 0 - 1 Seattle
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Paul Rothrock

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Minnesota United win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Seattle Sounders has a probability of 35.92% and a draw has a probability of 25.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win is 1-2 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.93%).

Result

Minnesota United 38.37% (+0.09)
Draw 25.71% (-0.04)
Seattle Sounders 35.92% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.54% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.22% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 22.78% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 53.97% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 46.03% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 31.65% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 68.35% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 17.91% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.09% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Minnesota United 31.46%
Draw 41.95%
Seattle Sounders 26.59%

Team To Score First

Minnesota United 47.64% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.21% (-0.01)
Seattle Sounders 46.15%

Corners

Over 8 65.97% (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.54%
Under 8 23.5% (-0.02)
Over 9 54.49% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.48% (+0.01)
Under 9 34.03% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 43.06% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 56.94% (-0.02)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 1.5 40.25% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 59.75% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 17% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 5.86% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.14% (-0.02)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5 70.87% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 29.13% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 38.25% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.75% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.79% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 84.21% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.26% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.74% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 38.37%
Draw 25.71%
Seattle Sounders 35.91%
Minnesota United
2-1 @ 8.6% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 5.87% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.02% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.91% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.84% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.64% (+0.03)
Total : 38.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.21% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.22% (-0.02)
Total : 25.71%
Seattle Sounders
1-2 @ 8.19% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.07% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.63%
Other @ 5.04% (-0.01)
Total : 35.91%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 8, 2025 9.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
ET
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 8, 2025 5.00pm
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 4, 2025 3.45am
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 28, 2025 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2025 11.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT CenturyLink Field
  • Kalani Kossa-Rienzi 55' goal
  • Nicolas Romero 83' goal
  • Daniel Musovski 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julian Gressel 19'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Pereyra 40'
  • goal Tani Oluwaseyi 51'
  • goal Robin Lod 54'
  • goal Tani Oluwaseyi 58'
  • yellowcard Anthony Markanich 69'
  • yellowcard Robin Lod 90'+6'