Club Friendlies 3
Feb 21, 2026 1.00pm
Papa Murphy’s Park

Sacramento Republic vs The Town FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sacramento Republic

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 12.00am
Oakland Roots 0 - 0 Sacramento

The Town FC

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sacramento Republic win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for The Town FC has a probability of 28.28% and a draw has a probability of 26.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sacramento Republic win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest The Town FC win is 0-1 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.74%).

Result

Sacramento Republic 45.66% (+0.15)
Draw 26.06% (+0.11)
The Town FC 28.28% (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.08% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.54% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 25.46% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 51.14% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 48.86% (+0.34)
Over 3.5 30.09% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 69.91% (+0.35)
Over 4.5 17.21% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 82.79% (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Sacramento Republic 33.06%
Draw 42.14%
The Town FC 24.8%

Team To Score First

Sacramento Republic 53.52% (-0.03)
No Goal 7.77% (+0.06)
The Town FC 38.71% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 53.42% (+0.06)
Equal 8 11.68% (+0.05)
Under 8 34.9% (-0.11)
Over 9 41.91% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.51% (+0.07)
Under 9 46.58% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 31.49% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 68.51% (+0.06)

Sacramento Republic Goals

Over 1.5 44.67% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 55.33% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 20.58% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.42% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.95% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.05% (-0.02)

The Town FC Goals

Over 0.5 62.85% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 37.15% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 29.73% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 70.27% (+0.46)
Over 2.5 11.19% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 88.81% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 3.23% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 96.77% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Sacramento Republic 45.66%
Draw 26.05%
The Town FC 28.28%
Sacramento Republic
1-0 @ 9.91% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.82% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.79% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.04% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.05)
Other @ 7.8% (+0.02)
Total : 45.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.74% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 7.77% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 26.05%
The Town FC
0-1 @ 7.77% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.55% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.08% (-0.09)
Total : 28.28%