Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 57.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.04% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%) , while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.