Major League Soccer
Apr 12, 2026 3.30am
1
2
HT : 1 2
LIVE Snapdragon Stadium
  • Luca Bombino 7' goal
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 53' yellowcard
  • goal Kyle Duncan 15'
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 40'

San Diego vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 3.30am
Earthquakes 3 - 0 San Diego
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Marcus Ingvartsen

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 3.30am
LA Galaxy 1 - 2 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a San Diego win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw has a probability of 22.04% and a win for Minnesota United has a probability of 20.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.17%) , while for a Minnesota United win it is 0-1 (5.49%).

Result

San Diego 57.79%
Draw 22.04%
Minnesota United 20.19%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.32%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.34% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 20.66% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 57.37%
Under 2.5 42.63%
Over 3.5 35.08%
Under 3.5 64.92%
Over 4.5 22.02%
Under 4.5 77.98%

First Half Winner

San Diego 47.33%
Draw 34.9%
Minnesota United 17.77%

Team To Score First

San Diego 65.11%
No Goal 5.52%
Minnesota United 29.37%

Corners

Over 8 58.2%
Equal 8 11.24%
Under 8 30.55%
Over 9 46.72%
Equal 9 11.49%
Under 9 41.8%
Over 10.5 35.93%
Under 10.5 64.07%

San Diego Goals

Over 1.5 56.1%
Under 1.5 43.9%
Over 2.5 30.46%
Under 2.5 69.54%
Over 3.5 13.93%
Under 3.5 86.07%

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 56.28% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 43.72% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 24.51%
Under 1.5 75.49%
Over 2.5 7.7%
Under 2.5 92.3%
Over 3.5 2.03%
Under 3.5 97.97%

Score analysis

San Diego 57.79%
Draw 22.03%
Minnesota United 20.21%
San Diego
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 8.92%
3-1 @ 6.16%
3-0 @ 5.83%
3-2 @ 3.45%
Other @ 13.8%
Total : 57.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.17% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.52%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.03%
Minnesota United
0-1 @ 5.49%
1-2 @ 5.36%
0-2 @ 2.88%
1-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.65%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 20.21%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 25, 2025 3.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Anders Dreyer 72' goal
  • Ian Pilcher 77' yellowcard
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Pablo Sisniega 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nectar Triantis 15'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Yeboah 20'
  • yellowcard Carlos Harvey 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Anthony Markanich 81'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 14, 2025 3.30am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 15, 2025 1.30am
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Christopher McVey 8' goal
  • Kelvin Yeboah 38' goal
  • goal Anders Dreyer 11'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 66'
  • goal Milan Iloski 75'
  • goal Milan Iloski 90'+2'