Major League Soccer
Apr 12, 2026 3.30am
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Snapdragon Stadium
  • Luca Bombino 7' goal
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 53' yellowcard
  • David Vazquez 73' yellowcard
  • Bryce Duke 80' yellowcard
  • Willy Kumado 80' yellowcard
  • goal Kyle Duncan 15'
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 40'
  • yellowcard Devin Padelford 68'
  • yellowcard Wil Trapp 68'
  • yellowcard Carlos Harvey 71'
  • yellowcard Bongokuhle Hlongwane 83'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Dieng 83'

San Diego vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 3.30am
Earthquakes 3 - 0 San Diego
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Marcus Ingvartsen

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 3.30am
LA Galaxy 1 - 2 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 57.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.04% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%) , while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

San Diego 57.76% (-0.04)
Draw 22.04%
Minnesota United 20.2% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.26% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.29% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 20.71% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 57.27% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 42.73% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 34.95% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 65.05% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 21.91% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 78.09% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

San Diego 47.33%
Draw 34.9%
Minnesota United 17.77%

Team To Score First

San Diego 65.11%
No Goal 5.53% (+0.02)
Minnesota United 29.36% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.74% (+0.54)
Equal 8 11.27% (+0.03)
Under 8 29.99% (-0.57)
Over 9 47.18% (+0.47)
Equal 9 11.56% (+0.08)
Under 9 41.26% (-0.54)
Over 10.5 36.28% (+0.36)
Under 10.5 63.72% (-0.35)

San Diego Goals

Over 1.5 56.02% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 43.98% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 30.39% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 69.61% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 13.89% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 86.11% (+0.05)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 56.24% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 43.76% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 24.44% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 75.56% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 7.64% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 92.36% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.01% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.99% (+0.02)

Score analysis

San Diego 57.76%
Draw 22.04%
Minnesota United 20.21%
San Diego
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.69% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.93% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.16%
3-0 @ 5.85% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.04)
Other @ 13.77% (-0.04)
Total : 57.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.53% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.02)
Total : 22.04%
Minnesota United
0-1 @ 5.5% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.37% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.89% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.89% (-0.02)
Total : 20.21%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 25, 2025 3.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Anders Dreyer 72' goal
  • Ian Pilcher 77' yellowcard
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Pablo Sisniega 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nectar Triantis 15'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Yeboah 20'
  • yellowcard Carlos Harvey 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Anthony Markanich 81'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 14, 2025 3.30am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 15, 2025 1.30am
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Christopher McVey 8' goal
  • Kelvin Yeboah 38' goal
  • goal Anders Dreyer 11'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 66'
  • goal Milan Iloski 75'
  • goal Milan Iloski 90'+2'