CONCACAF Champions League
Mar 12, 2026 3.30am
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Snapdragon Stadium
  • David Vazquez 32' goal
  • David Vazquez 46' goal
  • Anders Dreyer 53' goal
  • Lewis Morgan  61' yellowcard
  • Ian Pilcher 61' yellowcard
  • Pedro Soma 90' yellowcard
  • Osvald Søe 90' yellowcard
  • 90'+1' yellowcard
  • 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Bryce Duke 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesús Gallardo 16'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Castro 41'
  • yellowcard Pável Pérez 46'
  • yellowcard Helinho 46'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 73'
  • yellowcard Helinho 90'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Córdova 90'+2'
  • yellowcard 90'+2'

San Diego vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions

Toluca

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

San Diego 41.49% (+0.08)
Draw 25.37%
Toluca 33.17% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.63% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.29% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 23.71% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 52.62% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 47.38% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 30.16% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 69.84% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 17.17% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 82.83% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

San Diego 34.55%
Draw 40.66%
Toluca 24.79%

Team To Score First

San Diego 52.88% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.53% (-0.02)
Toluca 40.59% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 47.98%
Equal 8 11.64%
Under 8 40.37%
Over 9 36.98%
Equal 9 11%
Under 9 52.02%
Over 10.5 27.39%
Under 10.5 72.61%

San Diego Goals

Over 1.5 41.67% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 58.33% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 18.01% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 81.99% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 6.43% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.57% (-0.06)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 67.8% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.2% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 35.02% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 64.98% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 13.85% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 86.15% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.56% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.44% (-0.04)

Score analysis

San Diego 41.49%
Draw 25.37%
Toluca 33.17%
San Diego
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 6.73%
3-1 @ 4.13% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.76% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.22% (+0.05)
Total : 41.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.61% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.21% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.21% (+0.01)
Total : 25.37%
Toluca
0-1 @ 7.94% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.42% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.35% (+0.02)
Total : 33.17%