CONCACAF Champions League
Mar 12, 2026 3.30am
Snapdragon Stadium

San Diego vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions

Toluca

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a San Diego win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Toluca has a probability of 33.17% and a draw has a probability of 25.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Toluca win is 0-1 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.81%).

Result

San Diego 41.49% (+0.02)
Draw 25.34% (-0.02)
Toluca 33.17% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.63%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.25% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 23.75% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.56%
Under 2.5 47.44%
Over 3.5 30.11%
Under 3.5 69.89%
Over 4.5 17.13%
Under 4.5 82.87%

First Half Winner

San Diego 34.55%
Draw 40.66%
Toluca 24.79%

Team To Score First

San Diego 52.87% (-0.11)
No Goal 6.54% (+0.01)
Toluca 40.59% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 47.98% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.64% (-0.01)
Under 8 40.37% (+0.02)
Over 9 36.98% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11% (-0.01)
Under 9 52.02% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 27.39% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 72.61% (+0.02)

San Diego Goals

Over 1.5 41.63% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 58.37% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 17.98% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 82.02% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 6.41% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.59% (+0.02)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 67.78% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 32.22% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 34.99% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 65.01% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.83% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.17% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.54%
Under 3.5 95.46%

Score analysis

San Diego 41.49%
Draw 25.35%
Toluca 33.18%
San Diego
1-0 @ 9.28%
2-1 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 6.73%
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-0 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.76%
Other @ 6.21%
Total : 41.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 6.54% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.2% (-0.01)
Total : 25.35%
Toluca
0-1 @ 7.95% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-2 @ 5.13% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 2.41%
Other @ 4.34% (+0.01)
Total : 33.18%