Liga MX Gameweek 10
Mar 8, 2026 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Helinho 54' yellowcard
  • Antonio Briseño 70' goal
  • Jesús Gallardo 76' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 77' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 81' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 81' yellowcard
  • Pável Pérez 86' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Luca Martínez Dupuy 68'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Castilho 68'
  • yellowcard Homer Martínez 68'
  • goal Guilherme Castilho 72'
  • yellowcard Ettson Ayón 74'
  • yellowcard Javier Aquino 81'

Toluca vs Juarez - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 3.10am
Pumas 2 - 3 Toluca
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Paulinho

Juarez

All competitions
Last game
Mar 5, 2026 3.00am
America 1 - 2 Juarez
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jose Luis Rodriguez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.84% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 14.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%) , while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Toluca 63.19%
Draw 21.84%
Juarez 14.94%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.45% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.15% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 24.85% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 51.54% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 48.46% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.58%
Under 3.5 70.42%
Over 4.5 18.43% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 81.57% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Toluca 46.53% (+0.01)
Draw 36.09%
Juarez 17.38% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Toluca 65.32% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.95%
Juarez 27.73% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 49.94% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.97%
Under 8 38.09% (-0.03)
Over 9 38.47% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.47%
Under 9 50.06% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 28.36% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 71.64% (-0.02)

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 56.42% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 43.58% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 29.57%
Under 2.5 70.43%
Over 3.5 12.9% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 87.1% (-0.02)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5 48.38%
Under 0.5 51.62%
Over 1.5 17.58%
Under 1.5 82.42%
Over 2.5 4.73%
Under 2.5 95.27%
Over 3.5 1.11%
Under 3.5 98.89%

Score analysis

Toluca 63.19%
Draw 21.83%
Juarez 14.95%
Toluca
1-0 @ 12.84% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 11.7%
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.31% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.92%
3-2 @ 2.68%
Other @ 12.79% (+0.01)
Total : 63.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.9%
0-0 @ 6.95%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.83%
Juarez
0-1 @ 5.03% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.05% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.12%
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1%
Total : 14.95%

Head to Head

Liga MX
Nov 30, 2025 1.05am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Juan Dominguez 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Homer Martinez 31'
  • yellowcard Homer Martinez 32'
  • yellowcard Rodolfo Pizarro 36'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Castilho 75'
Liga MX
Aug 12, 2025 4.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 8
Feb 22, 2025 11.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez
  • Moises Mosquera 20' yellowcard
  • Jesus Murillo 22' yellowcard
  • Jairo Torres 28' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Castilho 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian Garcia 1'
  • goal Paulinho 12'
  • goal Jesus Angulo 17'
  • goal Paulinho 26'
  • goal Paulinho 75'
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 77'
Liga MX Gameweek 2
Jul 14, 2024 2.10am
3
2
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Paulinho 10' goal
  • Paulinho 10' goal
  • Moises Mosquera 17' goal
  • Moises Mosquera 17' goal
  • Paulinho 71' goal
  • Paulinho 71' goal
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 15'
  • yellowcard Ralph Orquin 15'
  • yellowcard Ralph Orquin 17'
  • yellowcard Dieter Villalpando 17'
  • yellowcard Dieter Villalpando 37'
  • yellowcard Angel Zaldivar 37'
  • goal Jesus Venegas 48'
  • goal Jesus Venegas 48'
  • goal Angel Zaldivar 54'
  • goal Angel Zaldivar 54'
  • yellowcard Angel Zaldivar 61'
  • yellowcard Angel Zaldivar 61'
Liga MX Gameweek 11
Mar 9, 2024 3.10am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez
  • Aitor Garcia 39' goal
  • Aitor Garcia 39' goal
  • goal Jesus Angulo 16'
  • goal Jesus Angulo 16'
Liga MX Gameweek 3
Jul 16, 2023 7.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Robert Morales 20' goal
  • Tiago Volpi 70' goal
  • goal Agustin Urzi 18'
  • goal Sebastian Saucedo 64'
  • goal Amaury Escoto 77'
  • goal Aitor Garcia 90'+6'