Liga MX Gameweek 10
Mar 8, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca vs Juarez - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 3.10am
Pumas 2 - 3 Toluca
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Paulinho

Juarez

All competitions
Last game
Mar 5, 2026 3.00am
America 1 - 2 Juarez
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Jose Luis Rodriguez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toluca win with a probability of 64.38%. A draw has a probability of 21.86% and a win for Juarez has a probability of 13.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.45%) , while for a Juarez win it is 0-1 (4.85%).

Result

Toluca 64.38%
Draw 21.86% (-0.11)
Juarez 13.76% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.88% (+0.41)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.71% (+0.45)
Under 1.5 26.29% (-0.45)
Over 2.5 50.08% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 49.92% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 28.94% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 71.06% (-0.29)
Over 4.5 18.38% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 81.62% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Toluca 46.34%
Draw 36.4%
Juarez 17.25%

Team To Score First

Toluca 65.23% (+0.16)
No Goal 7.68% (-0.21)
Juarez 27.09% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 52.86% (+0.02)
Equal 8 12.04%
Under 8 35.1% (-0.02)
Over 9 41.06% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.8%
Under 9 47.14% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 30.45% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 69.55% (-0.02)

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 56.39% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 43.61% (-0.30)
Over 2.5 29.66% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 70.34% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 13.14% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 86.86% (-0.11)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5 45.63% (+0.42)
Under 0.5 54.37% (-0.42)
Over 1.5 16.12% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 83.88% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 4.49% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 95.51% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 1.14% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.86% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Toluca 64.39%
Draw 21.86%
Juarez 13.77%
Toluca
1-0 @ 13.78% (-0.19)
2-0 @ 12.37% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.5% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 7.59% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.71% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.47% (+0.03)
Other @ 12.97% (+0.11)
Total : 64.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.45% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 3.81% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.17% (+0.02)
Total : 21.86%
Juarez
0-1 @ 4.85% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.55% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.8% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.05% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.05% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.97% (+0.02)
Total : 13.77%

Head to Head

Liga MX
Nov 30, 2025 1.05am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Juan Dominguez 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Homer Martinez 31'
  • yellowcard Homer Martinez 32'
  • yellowcard Rodolfo Pizarro 36'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Castilho 75'
Liga MX
Aug 12, 2025 4.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 8
Feb 22, 2025 11.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez
  • Moises Mosquera 20' yellowcard
  • Jesus Murillo 22' yellowcard
  • Jairo Torres 28' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Castilho 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian Garcia 1'
  • goal Paulinho 12'
  • goal Jesus Angulo 17'
  • goal Paulinho 26'
  • goal Paulinho 75'
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 77'
Liga MX Gameweek 2
Jul 14, 2024 2.10am
3
2
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Paulinho 10' goal
  • Paulinho 10' goal
  • Moises Mosquera 17' goal
  • Moises Mosquera 17' goal
  • Paulinho 71' goal
  • Paulinho 71' goal
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 15'
  • yellowcard Ralph Orquin 15'
  • yellowcard Ralph Orquin 17'
  • yellowcard Dieter Villalpando 17'
  • yellowcard Dieter Villalpando 37'
  • yellowcard Angel Zaldivar 37'
  • goal Jesus Venegas 48'
  • goal Jesus Venegas 48'
  • goal Angel Zaldivar 54'
  • goal Angel Zaldivar 54'
  • yellowcard Angel Zaldivar 61'
  • yellowcard Angel Zaldivar 61'
Liga MX Gameweek 11
Mar 9, 2024 3.10am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez
  • Aitor Garcia 39' goal
  • Aitor Garcia 39' goal
  • goal Jesus Angulo 16'
  • goal Jesus Angulo 16'
Liga MX Gameweek 3
Jul 16, 2023 7.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Robert Morales 20' goal
  • Tiago Volpi 70' goal
  • goal Agustin Urzi 18'
  • goal Sebastian Saucedo 64'
  • goal Amaury Escoto 77'
  • goal Aitor Garcia 90'+6'