Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Atlas win was 1-2 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.