Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-2 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.