Liga MX Gameweek 6
Feb 14, 2026 3.05am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Paulinho 21' goal
  • Diego Barbosa 62' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Cordova 75' yellowcard
  • Luan Garcia 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Domingo Blanco 46'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Gomez 46'
  • yellowcard Diego Fernando Abreu Firenze 76'
  • yellowcard 76'
  • yellowcard Jesus Vega 76'
  • yellowcard Josef Martinez 84'

Toluca vs Club Tijuana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 11.00pm
Toluca 1 - 1 Cruz Azul
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Paulinho

Club Tijuana

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.06am
Tijuana 0 - 0 Puebla
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Kevin Castaneda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 70.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.48% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 10.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.65%) , while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Toluca 70.71% (+0.15)
Draw 18.48% (-0.17)
Club Tijuana 10.78% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.5%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.91% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 21.09% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 58.72%
Under 2.5 41.28%
Over 3.5 38.71%
Under 3.5 61.29%
Over 4.5 27% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 73% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Toluca 57.52%
Draw 30.02%
Club Tijuana 12.46%

Team To Score First

Toluca 71.47% (-0.08)
No Goal 5.93% (-0.12)
Club Tijuana 22.6% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 62.38%
Equal 8 11.11%
Under 8 26.51%
Over 9 50.63%
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 37.62%
Over 10.5 39.26%
Under 10.5 60.74%

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 65.24% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 34.76% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 39.77% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 60.23% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 20.43% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 79.57% (+0.06)

Club Tijuana Goals

Over 0.5 42.84% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 57.16% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 15.72% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 84.28% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 4.16% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 95.84% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 1.02%
Under 3.5 98.98%

Score analysis

Toluca 70.71%
Draw 18.47%
Club Tijuana 10.78%
Toluca
1-0 @ 11.64% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 11.24% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.04% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 8% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.95% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.02)
Other @ 20.31% (-0.05)
Total : 70.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.65% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.03)
Total : 18.47%
Club Tijuana
0-1 @ 3.48% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 2.83% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.29% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.9% (+0.03)
Total : 10.78%

Head to Head

Liga MX
Oct 23, 2025 4.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 1
Jan 11, 2025 3.05am
2
4
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Caliente
  • Christian Rivera 3' yellowcard
  • Christian Rivera 3' yellowcard
  • Jose Zuniga 45'+3' goal
  • Jose Zuniga 45'+3' goal
  • Emanuel Reynoso 80' goal
  • Emanuel Reynoso 80' goal
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 18'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 18'
  • yellowcard Victor Arteaga 21'
  • yellowcard Victor Arteaga 21'
  • goal Alexis Vega 39'
  • goal Alexis Vega 39'
  • goal Alexis Vega 57'
  • goal Alexis Vega 57'
  • goal Helinho 71'
  • goal Helinho 71'
  • goal Paulinho 85'
  • goal Paulinho 85'
  • yellowcard Diego Barbosa 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Diego Barbosa 90'+5'
Liga MX Gameweek 7
Sep 14, 2024 11.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Antonio Rodriguez 39' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 51' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 54' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 79' goal
  • Paulinho 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Zuniga 75'
Liga MX Gameweek 8
Feb 25, 2024 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Tomas Belmonte 16' yellowcard
  • Juan Dominguez 52' goal
  • Alexis Vega 60' yellowcard
  • Jean Meneses 63' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Castaneda 36'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Diaz 69'
Liga MX Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 4.00am
2
1
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Caliente
  • Carlos Gonzalez 12' goal
  • Carlos Gonzalez 12' goal
  • Fernando Madrigal 18' goal
  • Fernando Madrigal 18' goal
  • Kevin Balanta 74' yellowcard
  • Kevin Balanta 74' yellowcard
  • Diego Barbosa 83' yellowcard
  • Diego Barbosa 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 74'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 74'
  • yellowcard Jesus Venegas 81'
  • yellowcard Robert Morales 81'
  • yellowcard Jesus Venegas 81'
  • redcard Jean Meneses 85'
  • redcard Jean Meneses 86'
  • goal Robert Morales 90'+6'
  • goal Robert Morales 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 90'+8'
Liga MX Gameweek 12
Mar 18, 2023 3.05am
3
3
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Caliente
  • Lucas Rodriguez 47' goal
  • Carlos Valenzuela 58' goal
  • Lucas Cavallini 77' goal
  • goal Maximiliano Araujo 22'
  • goal Maximiliano Araujo 24'
  • goal Brayan Angulo 35'