Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 70.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.48% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 10.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.65%) , while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.