Mar 4, 2026 3.10am

2

3

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Olímpico de Universitario

Robert Morales 29'
Uriel Antuna 57'
Álvaro Angulo 63'
Guillermo Martínez Ayala 75'
Rubén Duarte Sánchez 90'+2'
César Garza 90'+2'

Jesús Angulo 37'
Helinho 63'
Helinho 66'
Diego Barbosa 73'
Nicolás Castro 77'
Paulinho 78'
Antonio Briseño 82'

Pumas vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pumas

All competitions

D
W
W
W
D
L

Liga MX

D
W
W
D
W
D

Last game

Feb 28, 2026 3.06am

Tijuana 1 - 1 Pumas

Goals scored

43

Top scorer

Jordan Carrillo

Toluca

All competitions

W
W
W
D
D
D

Liga MX

W
W
W
D
D
D

Last game

Feb 28, 2026 11.00pm

Toluca 2 - 0 Guadalajara

Goals scored

65

Top scorer

Paulinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-0 (9.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result

Pumas 33.75% ▼ (-0.08)

Draw 27.4%

Toluca 38.81% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

50.13% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.26% ▼ (-0.11)

Under 1.5 28.74% ▲ (+0.11)

Over 2.5 45.92% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 2.5 54.07% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 3.5 24.48% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 3.5 75.52% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 4.5 12.82% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 4.5 87.18% ▲ (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Pumas 30.94%

Draw 42.8%

Toluca 26.26%

Team To Score First

Pumas 45.99% ▼ (-0.01)

No Goal 8.47% ▲ (+0.03)

Toluca 45.54% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.77%

Equal 8 12.15%

Under 8 37.07%

Over 9 39.05%

Equal 9 11.72%

Under 9 49.23%

Over 10.5 28.68%

Under 10.5 71.32%

Pumas Goals

Over 1.5 32.28% ▼ (-0.11)

Under 1.5 67.72% ▲ (+0.11)

Over 2.5 11.48% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 2.5 88.52% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 3.5 3.34% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 3.5 96.66% ▲ (+0.02)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 70.68% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 0.5 29.32% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 1.5 36.28% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 63.72% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 2.5 14.08% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 85.92% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 4.39% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 3.5 95.61% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Pumas 33.75%

Draw 27.39%

Toluca 38.81%

Pumas

1-0 @ 9.7%

2-1 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.02)

2-0 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.03)

3-1 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.03)

Total : 33.75%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.97% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 8.47% ▲ (+0.03)

2-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.07%

Total : 27.39%

Toluca

0-1 @ 10.52% ▲ (+0.03)

1-2 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 6.78%

1-3 @ 3.6%

0-3 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)

2-3 @ 2.28%

Other @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 38.81%

Head to Head

Aug 17, 2025 4.10am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Jan 30, 2025 3.05am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Olimpico de Universitario

Pablo Bennevendo 53'
Pablo Bennevendo 53'
Pablo Bennevendo 61'
Pablo Bennevendo 61'
Adalberto Carrasquilla 64'
Adalberto Carrasquilla 64'
Ignacio Pussetto 74'
Ignacio Pussetto 74'
Guillermo Martinez 86'
Guillermo Martinez 86'

Alexis Vega 17'
Alexis Vega 17'
Nathan Silva 51' (OG)
Nathan Silva 51' (OG)

Oct 6, 2024 2.00am

1

1

HT : 2 2

FT Estadio Nemesio Diez

Paulinho 24'
Paulinho 24'
Alexis Vega 72'
Alexis Vega 72'
Jesus Gallardo 90'+3'
Marcel Ruiz 90'+3'
Jesus Gallardo 90'+3'

Cesar Huerta 1'
Cesar Huerta 1'
Lisandro Magallan 39'
Lisandro Magallan 39'

Mar 18, 2024 1.00am

3

0

HT : 4 0

FT Estadio Nemesio Diez

Alexis Vega 14'
Alexis Vega 14'
Tiago Volpi 36'
Tiago Volpi 36'
Claudio Baeza 75'
Claudio Baeza 75'
Juan Dominguez 77'
Juan Dominguez 77'

Rodrigo Lopez 39'
Rodrigo Lopez 39'
Nathan Silva 40'
Nathan Silva 40'
Leonardo Suarez 64'
Leonardo Suarez 64'

Aug 19, 2023 4.00am

1

1

HT : 2 2

FT Estadio Olimpico de Universitario

Cesar Huerta 24'
Cesar Huerta 24'
Cesar Huerta 81'
Cesar Huerta 81'
Santiago Trigos 90'+5'
Jose Caicedo 90'+5'
Santiago Trigos 90'+5'
Jose Caicedo 90'+5'
Gil Alcala 90'+10'
Gil Alcala 90'+10'
Carlos Gutierrez 90'+14'
Carlos Gutierrez 90'+14'

Juan Dominguez 15'
Juan Dominguez 15'
Claudio Baeza 38'
Claudio Baeza 38'
Tomas Belmonte 81'
Tomas Belmonte 81'
Jesus Pinuelas 90'+7'
Jesus Pinuelas 90'+7'
Jesus Pinuelas 90'+10'
Jesus Pinuelas 90'+10'

Apr 16, 2023 7.00pm

3

1

HT : 3 1

FT Estadio OlÃmpico de Universitario

Juan Dinenno 1'
Cesar Huerta 38'
Eduardo Salvio 44'

Carlos Gonzalez 31'

Form Data

Tijuana 1 - 1 Pumas

Pumas 2 - 0 Monterrey

Puebla 2 - 3 Pumas

Pumas 1 - 0 San Diego

Atlas 2 - 2 Pumas

San Diego 4 - 1 Pumas

Toluca 2 - 0 Guadalajara

Necaxa 0 - 3 Toluca

Toluca 1 - 0 Tijuana

Toluca 1 - 1 Cruz Azul

Puebla 0 - 0 Toluca

Tigres 0 - 0 Toluca