Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toluca win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Necaxa has a probability of 29.95% and a draw has a probability of 25.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Necaxa win is 1-0 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.04%).