Major League Soccer
Mar 8, 2026 1.30am
Children's Mercy Park

Sporting Kansas City vs San Diego - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 1.30am
Kansas 2 - 2 Columbus Crew
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Dejan Joveljić

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 2, 2026 2.15am
San Diego 2 - 0 St Louis City
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Marcus Ingvartsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a San Diego win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Sporting Kansas City has a probability of 30.28% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win is 2-1 (6.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.79%).

Result

Sporting Kansas City 30.28% (+0.04)
Draw 23.9% (-0.04)
San Diego 45.85% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.83% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.56% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 21.44% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 56.15% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 43.85% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 34.09% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 65.91% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 20.2% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 79.8% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Sporting Kansas City 26.16%
Draw 38.56%
San Diego 35.28%

Team To Score First

Sporting Kansas City 41.93% (+0.03)
No Goal 5.71% (-0.05)
San Diego 52.36% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.59%
Equal 8 11.97%
Under 8 35.44%
Over 9 40.88%
Equal 9 11.71%
Under 9 47.41%
Over 10.5 30.36%
Under 10.5 69.64%

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 1.5 33.99% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 66.01% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 13.97% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 86.03% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.68% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.32% (-0.03)

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5 76.93% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 23.07% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 46.89% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 53.11% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 22.02% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 77.98% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 8.69% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.31% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Sporting Kansas City 30.28%
Draw 23.89%
San Diego 45.86%
Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 6.92%
1-0 @ 6.72% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.26%
3-1 @ 3.29% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.68% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.44% (+0.03)
Total : 30.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.8% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.89%
San Diego
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-2 @ 7.36% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.8% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.14% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.04% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.45% (+0.01)
Total : 45.86%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Aug 10, 2025 1.45am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2025 3.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Anibal Godoy 21' yellowcard
  • Anibal Godoy 21' yellowcard
  • Luca Bombino 37' yellowcard
  • Luca Bombino 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jansen Miller 9'
  • yellowcard Jansen Miller 9'
  • yellowcard Zorhan Bassong 46'
  • yellowcard Zorhan Bassong 46'
  • yellowcard Manu Garcia 68'
  • yellowcard Manu Garcia 68'